Jharkhand Assembly Election 2014 (Who will Win?) Opinion Poll

Jharkhand, Assembly Election, 2014,
To Check Live Results of Jharkhand and Jammu Kashmir Click Here


Jharkhand assembly election 2014 have just started. These elections will be completed by the election commission of India in five phases. Final results of Jharkhand assembly polls will be declared on 23rd Dec 2014 with the counting of votes.

Now, there is only one question in everybodies mind that who will win these elections in Jharkhand. The main fight in Jharkand is between the BJP, JMM (Jharkhand Mukti Morcha) and Congress; though, we can't rule out other small parties and independents in Jharkhand.

There is a total of 81 assembly seats in Jharkhand and any political party or alliance needs support of 41 MLAs to form the next government.

In last Assembly election in 2009, 20 seats were won by small parties and independent candidates. In this election BJP won 18 seats, JMM 18 and Congress 13.

At present Hemant Soran of JMM is running government in the state with the support of Congress and RJD.

Few months back in Loksabha Election 2014, BJP won 12 Loksabha seats out of 14 seats. 2 remaining seats were won by JMM.

BJP will again like to repeat this success in the Assembly Election too; however, so far, it has failed to do so in past.

After making a good success in Haryana and Maharashtra, BJP will definitely see for the same opportunity in Jharkhand.

If we take Loksabha election trends, then BJP looks to have the edge in Jharkhand. Anti-incumbency against the present government of JMM and Congress will also help BJP to gain more votes.

Final, Results of Jharkhand will be available in front of us on 23rd Dec then we will come to know that who is the real winner of Jharkhand.


Jammu & Kashmir (J&K) Assembly Election 2014 (Who will Win?) Opinion Poll

Assembly Election, 2014, Jammu, Kashmir

To Check Live Results of Jharkhand and Jammu Kashmir Click Here

Jammu & Kashmir Assembly's current term is going to end on 19/01/2014, therefore, the election commission of India has decided to conduct election in J&K in five phases in the month of November and December. The Final counting of votes for all the five phases will take place on 23rd Dec, 2014 and then, we will come to know that which party of the alliance will make next government in Jammu & Kashmir. To Get a detailed schedule of Jammu & Kashmir assembly Election 2014 Click Here

There are 87 Assembly seats in J&K and any political party or alliance need support of 44 MLA to form the next government.

The J&K Assembly has six year tenure unlike five year tenure of Assemblies in other Indian states.

Last elections were held in J&K in 2008, in this election National Conference (NC) won 28 seats, People's Democratic Party (PDP) 21 seats, the Congress 17 seats, BJP 11 seats and Others 10.

National Conference made government at that time with the support of Congress and Omar Abdullah became Chief Minister of the state.

We can divide J&K in three regions of Kashmir, Jammu and Ladakh which have 46, 37 and 4 seats respectively.

Kashmir Valley with 46 assembly seats enjoy a good say in the formation of the next government in the state.

The main fight in J&K is between NC, PDP, Congress and BJP. Both NC and Congress are likely to face anti-incumbency factor in this election because of six year rule in the state.

PDP has tried to increase its hold in Jammu Kashmir region because it failed to show a good show here.

This time, BJP also finds it in the race because it won three Loksabha seats J&K out of total six Loksabha seats in few months back. This was the best show of BJP in J&K so far. Therefore, the BJP is very optimistic of showing a good performance here.

However, at ground level the fight is very tough because of regional divided and polarization of votes. Under such situation, it is very difficult for the signal party to win an absolute majority in the state.

If we go with the performance of the Parties in recently held Loksabha Election then NC and Congress are likely to lose some seats while PDP is likely to retain its seats. BJP can be big gainer in this election; however, it is not easy for it cross 44 mark.

Overall, J&K assembly elections are going to be very tough and we can only get the exact results on 23rd Dec, 2014.






Phase Wise List of Assembly Seats / Constituencies in Jammu & Kashmir Assembly Election 2014

Below find the list of Phase wise assembly seats/constituencies for the upcoming Jammu & Kashmir assembly election 2014. For Date wise Schedule of J&K Assembly Election Click Here

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 1  (Total 15)  Date of Election - 25/11/2014

1)  GUREZ
2)  BANDIPORA
3)  SONAWARI
4)  KANGAN
5)  GANDERBAL
6)  NOBRA
7)  LEH
8)  KARGIL
9)  ZANSKAR
10) INDERWAL
11) DODA
12) BHADERWAH
13) RAMBAN (SC)
14) BANIHAL
15)  KISHTWAR

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 2  (Total 18)  Date of Election - 02/12/2014

1) GULABGARH
2) REASI
3)  GOOL ARNAS)
4)  UDHAMPUR
5)  CHENANI (SC)
6)  RAMNAGAR
7)  SURANKOTE
8)  MENDHAR
9)  POONCH HAVELI
10) KARNAH
11)  KUPWARA
12)  LOLAB
13)  HANDWARA
14)  LANGATE
15)  NOORABAD
16)  KULGAM
17)  HOME-SHALIBUGH
18)  DEVSAR


List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 3  (Total 16)  Date of Election - 09/12/2014

1)  URI
2)  RAFIABAD
3)  SOPORE
4)  SANGRAMA
5)  BARAMULLA
6)  GULMARG
7)  PATTAN
8)  CHADOORA
9)  BADGAM
10) BEERWAH
11) KHANSAHIB
12)  CHRAR-I- SHARIEF
13)  TRAL
14) PAMPORE
15)  PULWAMA
16)  RAJPORA


List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 4 (Total 15)  Date of Election - 14/12/2014

1) HAZRATBAL
2)  ZADIBAL
3) IDGAH
4)  KHANYAR
5) HABBAKADAL
6) AMIRAKADAL
7) SONAWAR
8) BATAMALOO
9) ANANTNAG
10) DORU
11) KOKERNAG
12) SHANGUS
13) BIJBEHARA
14) PAHALGAM
15) WACHI
16)  SHOPIAN
17) SAMBA (SC)
18) VIJAYPUR

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 5 (Total 20)  Date of Election - 20/12/2014

1)  BANI
2) BASOHLI
3)  KATHUA
4)  BILLAWAR
5)  HIRANAGAR (SC)
6) NAGROTA
7)  GANDHINAGAR
8) JAMMU EAST
9) JAMMU WEST
10) BISHNAH
11) R S PURA (SC)
12) SUEHETGARH
13) MARH
14) RAIPUR DOMANA (SC)
15) AKHNOOR
16) CHHAMB (SC)
17) NOWSHARA
18) DARHAL
19)  RAJOURI
20) KALAKOTE

Phase Wise List of Assembly Seats / Constituencies in Jharkhand Assembly Election 2014

Below find the list of Phase wise assembly seats/constituencies for the upcoming Jharkhand assembly election 2014.

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 1  (Total 13)  Date of Election - 25/11/2014

1)  CHATRA (SC)
2)  GUMLA (ST)
3)  BISHUNPUR (ST)
4)  LOHARDAGA (ST)
5)  MANIKA (ST)
6)  LATEHAR (SC)
7)  PANKI
8)  DALTONGANJ
9)  BISHRAMPUR
10) CHHATARPUR (SC)
11) HUSSAINABAD
12) GARHWA
13) BHAWANATHPUR

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 2  (Total 20)  Date of Election - 02/12/2014

1) BAHARAGORA
2) GHATSILA (ST)
3)  POTKA (ST)
4)  JUGSALAI (SC)
5)  JAMSHEDPUR EAST
6)  JAMSHEDPUR WEST
7)  SERAIKELLA (ST)
8)  CHAIBASA (ST)
9)  MAJHGAON (ST)
10) JAGANATHPUR (ST)
11)  MANOHARPUR (ST)
12)  CHAKRADHARPUR(ST)
13)  KHARSAWAN (ST)
14)  TAMAR (ST)
15)  TORPA (ST)
16)  KHUNTI (ST)
17)  MANDAR (ST)
18)  SISAI (ST)
19)  SIMDEGA (ST)
20)  KOLEBIRA (ST)

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 3  (Total 17)  Date of Election - 09/12/2014

1)  KODARMA
2)  BARKATHA
3)  BARHI
4)  BARKAGAON
5)  RAMGARH
6)  MANDU
7)  HAZARIBAGH
8)  SIMARIA (SC)
9)  DHANWAR
10) GOMIA
11) BERMO
12)  ICHAGARH
13)  SILLI
14) KHIJRI (ST)
15)  RANCHI
16)  HATIA
17) KANKE (SC)

List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 4 (Total 15)  Date of Election - 14/12/2014

1) MADHUPUR
2)  DEOGHAR (SC)
3) BAGODAR
4)  JAMUA (SC)
5) GANDEY
6) GIRIDIH
7) DUMRI
8) BOKARO
9) CHANDANKIYARI (SC)
10) SINDRI
11) NIRSA
12) DHANBAD
13) JHARIA
14) TUNDI
15) BAGHMARA


List of Assembly Seats/Constituencies Phase 5 (Total 16)  Date of Election - 20/12/2014

1)  RAJMAHAL
2) BORIO (ST)
3)  BARHAIT (ST)
4)  LITIPARA (ST)
5) PAKAUR
6) MAHESHPUR (ST)
7) SIKARIPARA (ST)
8) NALA
9) JAMTARA
10) DUMKA (ST)
11) JAMA (ST)
12) JARMUNDI
13) SARATH
14) POREYAHAT
15) GODDA
16) MAHAGAMA

Complete Time Table and Schedule for Jammu & Kashmir and Jharkhand Assembly Election 2914

Finally, the election commission of India has announced the dates for assembly election in the Indian states of Jammu & Kashmir and Jharkhand. The assembly terms in both of these states are going to expire in Jan, 2015.

The Election Commission of India has decided to conduct these elections in five phases because of many sensitive parts present in both these states. J&K is threatened by militancy and Jharkhand is affected with Maoists.

To take care of all threats and to make voters feel safe while voting these assembly elections will be in five phases. The election schedule will start from 28/10/2014 and end with the final counting of votes on 23/12/2014.

There are 81 assembly seats in Jharkhand and 87 assembly seats in Jammu & Kashmir.






Phase 1Phase 2Phase 3Phase 4Phase 5
Date of 28/10/201407/11/201414/11/201419/11/201426/11/2014
Notification(Jharkhand)
29/10/2014
(J&K)
Last Date of Nomination05/11/201414/11/201421/11/201426/11/201403/12/2014
Date of Scrutiny07/11/201415/11/201422/11/201427/11/201404/12/2014
Last Date of Withdrawal10/11/201417/11/201424/11/201429/11/201406/11/2014
Date of Poll 25/11/201402/12/201409/12/201414/12/201420/12/2014
Date of Counting23/12/201423/12/201423/12/201423/12/201423/12/2014

Constituency wise results of Haryana Assembly Election 2014

Below find constituency wise results of Haryana and Maharashtra Assembly Election 2014.

Final Constituency Wise Results Haryana Assembly Election 2014

Constituency Name    Winning Candidate        Losing Candidate                    Vote Margin 

1Adampur                KULDEEP BISHNOI (HJC)   KULVEER SINGH BENIWAL (INLD)   17249
2) Ambala Cantt.        ANIL VIJ (BJP)                   CH. NIRMAL SINGH (Cong)               15462 
3) Ambala City
4) Assandh                 BAKHSHISH SINGH VIRK (BJP) MARATHA VIRENDER VERMA (BSP)  4608
5) Ateli                     SANTOSH YADAV (BJP)       SATBIR  (INLD)                                  48601
6) Badhra                 SUKHVINDER (BJP)        RANBIR SINGH MAHENDRA (Cong)          5006
7) Badkhal                SEEMA TRIKHA (BJP)     MAHENDER PARTAP SINGH (Cong)           36609
8) Badli
9) Badshahpur         NARBIR SINGH (BJP)      RAKESH DAULTABAD (INLD)  Counting in Progress
10) Bahadurgarh     NARESH KAUSHIK (BJP)  RAJINDER SINGH JOON (Cong)                 4882
11) Ballabhgarh       MOOL CHAND SHARMA (BJP) LAKHAN KUMAR SINGLA (Cong)         53098
12) Baroda              SRI KRISHAN (Cong)        DR. KAPOOR SINGH NARWAL (INLD)       5183
13) Barwala            VED NARANG (INLD)       SURENDER PUNIA (BJP)                           10261
14) Bawal (SC)        DR. BANWARI LAL (BJP)  SHYAM SUNDER (INLD)                           37391
15) Bawani Khera (SC)  BISHAMBER SINGH (BJP) DAYA BHURTANA (INLD)                   2559
16) Beri                 DR.RAGHUVIR SINGH KADIAN (Cong)  CHATAR SINGH (IND)           4493
17) Bhiwani   
18) Dabwali           NAINA SINGH CHAUTALA (INLD)  DR.KAMALVIR SINGH (Cong)         8545
19) Dadri               RAJDEEP   (INLD)             SOMVIR (BJP)                                          1610
20) Ellenabad         ABHAY SINGH CHAUTALA (INLD) PAWAN BENIWAL (BJP)                11539
21) Faridabad        VIPUL GOEL (BJP)          ANAND KAUSHIK (Cong)                             44781
22) Faridabad NIT  NAGENDER BHADANA (INLD)  PANDIT SHIV CHARAN LAL SHARMA (IND) 2914
23) Fatehabad
24) Ferozepur Jhirka  NASEEM AHMED (INLD)  MAMMAN KHAN (IND)                            3245
25) Ganaur            KULDIP SHARMA (Cong)   NIRMAL RANI (INLD)                                7543
26) Garhi Sampla-Kiloi  BHUPINDER SINGH HOODA (Cong) SATISH KUMAR NANDAL (INLD) 47185
27) Gharaunda      HARVINDER KALYAN (BJP) NARENDER SANGWAN (INLD)                   17883
28) Gohana           JAGBIR SINGH MALIK (Cong) DR.KRISHAN CHANDER BANGER (INLD) 3228
29) Guhla (SC)      KULWANT RAM BAZIGAR (BJP)  DILLU RAM (Cong)                              2440
30) Gurgaon
31) Hansi              RENUKA BISHNOI (HJC)      UMED SINGH LOHAN (INLD)                    14652
32) Hathin
33) Hisar              DR.KAMAL GUPTA (BJP)     SAVITRI JINDAL (Cong)                              13646
34) Hodal (SC)
35) Indri               KARAN DEV KAMBOJ (BJP)  USHA KASHYAP (INLD)                             23875
36) Israna (SC)     KRISHAN LAL PANWAR (BJP)   BALBIR SINGH (Cong)                          1828
37) Jagadhri          KANWAR PAL (BJP)              AKRAM KHAN (BSP)                                 34156
38) Jhajjar (SC)     GEETA BHUKKAL (Cong)      SADHU RAM (INLD)                                 26584
39) Jind                DR. HARI CHAND MIDDHA (INLD)  SURINDER SINGH BARWALA (BJP)  2257
40) Julana            PARMINDER SINGH DHULL (INLD) DHARMENDER SINGH DHULL (Cong) 22806
41) Kaithal           RANDEEP SINGH SURJEWALA (Cong)  KAILASH BHAGAT (INLD)           23675
42) Kalanaur (SC)
43) Kalawali (SC)  BALKAUR SINGH (SAD)  SHISHPAL KEHARWALA (Cong)                      12965
44) Kalayat          BHAI JAI PARKASH (J.P.) (IND)   RAM PAL MAJRA (INLD)                      8390
45) Kalka             LATIKA SHARMA (BJP)       PARDEEP CHAUDHARY (INLD)                    19027
46) Karnal           MANOHAR LAL KHATTAR (BJP)   JAI PARKASH GUPTA KARNAL (IND)     63773
47) Kharkhauda (SC)  JAIVEER SINGH (Cong)  PAWAN KUMAR (IND)                              14182
48) Kosli             BIKRAM SINGH THEKEDAR (BJP) JAGDISH YADAV (INLD)                      10767
49) Ladwa          DR. PAWAN SAINI (BJP)    BACHAN KAUR BARSHAMI (INLD)                 2992
50) Loharu         OM PARKASH BARWA (INLD)  JAI PARKASH DALAL (BJP)                       2095
51) Mahendragarh RAM BILASH SHARMA (BJP) DAN SINGH RAO (Cong)                         34491
52) Meham
53) Mulana (SC)  SANTOSH CHAUHAN SARWAN (BJP) RAJBIR SINGH (INLD)                  5649
54) Nalwa         RANBIR GANGWA (INLD) CHANDER MOHAN (HJC)                                 7115
55) Nangal chaudhry ABHE SINGH YADAV (BJP)   MANJU (INLD)                                     981
56) Naraingarh  NAYAB SINGH (BJP)    RAM KISHAN (Cong)                                           24631
57) Narnaul       OM PRAKASH (BJP)  KAMLESH (INLD)                                                  4573
58) Narnaund
59) Narwana (SC)  PIRTHI SINGH (INLD)  SANTOSH RANI (BJP)                                    9152
60) Nilokheri (SC)  BHAGWAN DASS KABIR PANTHI (BJP) MAMU RAM (INLD)                34410
61) Nuh            ZAKIR HUSSAIN (INLD)  AFTAB AHMED (Cong)                                    32796
62) Palwal
63) Panchkula  GIAN CHAND GUPTA (BJP) KUL BHUSHAN GOYAL (INLD)                      44602
64) Panipat City  ROHITA REWRI (BJP) VIRENDER KUMAR SHAH (Cong)                      53721
65) Panipat Rural  MAHIPAL DHANDA (BJP)  DHARA SINGH RAWAL (IND)                    36132
66) Pataudi (SC)  BIMLA CHAUDHARY (BJP) GANGA RAM (INLD)                                 38963
67) Pehowa JASWINDER SINGH SANDHU (INLD) JAI BHAGWAN SHARMA (BJP)           9347)
68) Prithla 
69) Punahana  RAHISH KHAN (IND)  MOHAMMED ILYAS (INLD)                                  3141
70) Pundri    DINESH KAUSHIK (IND)   RANDHIR SINGH GOLLEN (BJP)                        4832
71) Radaur  SHYAM SINGH (BJP)  RAJ KUMAR BUBKA (INLD)                                       38707
72) Rai        JAI TIRATH (Cong)    INDERJEET (INLD)                                                   3
73) Rania     RAM CHAND KAMBOJ (INLD)  GOBIND KANDA (HLP)                                4315
74) Ratia (SC)  PROF. RAVINDER BALIALA (INLD)  SUNITA DUGGAL (BJP)                    453
75) Rewari    RANDHIR SINGH KAPRIWAS (BJP) SATISH YADAV (INLD)                        45466
76) Rohtak  MANISH KUMAR GROVER (BJP) BHARAT BHUSHAN BATRA (Cong)             11132
77) Sadhaura (SC)  BALWANT SINGH (BJP)  PINKI CHHAPPER (INLD)                          14146
78) Safidon   JASBIR DESWAL (IND)   DR.VANDANA SHARMA (BJP)                              1422
79) Samalkha  RAVINDER MACHHROULI (IND)  DHARM SINGH CHHOKER (Cong)         20373
80) Shahbad (SC) KRISHAN KUMAR (BJP) RAM KARAN (INLD)                                      562
81) Sirsa   MAKHAN LAL SINGLA (INLD)  GOPAL KANDA  (HLP)                                    2938
82) Sohna  TEJPAL TAWAR (BJP) KISHORE YADAV (INLD)                                            24547
83) Sonipat  KAVITA JAIN (BJP) DEV RAJ DIWAN (Cong)                                              25810
84) Thanesar  SUBHASH SUDHA (BJP) ASHOK KUMAR ARORA (INLD)                          25638
85) Tigaon  LALIT NAGAR (Cong)  RAJESH NAGAR (BJP)                                              2938
86) Tohana  SUBHASH BARALA (BJP)  NISHAN SINGH (INLD)                                     6906
87) Tosham  KIRAN CHOUDHRY (Cong)  KAMLA RANI (INLD)                                      19741
88) Uchana kalan PREM LATA (BJP)  DUSHYANT CHAUTALA (INLD)                             7480
89) Uklana (SC) ANOOP DHANAK (INLD)   SEEMA GAIBIPUR (BJP)                              17927
90) Yamunanagar  GHANSHYAM DASS (BJP) DILBAGH SINGH (INLD)                         28245





(Note- Though every care has been taken in publishing these results; however, we still don't claim any responsibility for any kind of misprints.) 

Exit Poll Results for Haryana and Maharashtra Assembly Election 2014

Haryana, Maharashtra, Exit Poll, Results
After the end of voting in Haryana and Maharashtra Assembly election 2014, we are getting some exit poll results by leading news channels. Exit poll results are available from ABP news, Aajtak, India TV, News Nation etc.

As per the exit poll results BJP is going to emerge single largest political in Maharashtra and Haryana by winning 120 to 140 seats and 35-46 seats respectively.

Highlights of Exit Poll

1) BJP to emerge the single largest party in both Maharashtra and Haryana
2) BJP+Shiv Sena can get 200 in Maharashtra Assembly Election
3)  BJP to get complete majority in Haryana as per ABP News and News 24 Exit Poll



Possible Results after combining all Exit Poll Results

Exit Poll Results Maharashtra Assembly Election 2013

BJP               125-145   (Vote Share  27-30%   Plus 14-16%)
Shiv Sena      50-77      (Vote Share  20-22%    Plus 1-2%)
Congress       37-47      (Vote Share  17-19%)
NCP              33-40       (Vote Share  13-15%)
MNS               5-15
Other              5-15

Exit Poll Results Haryana Assembly Election 2014

BJP            39-56   (Vote Share  31-33%)
Congress    8-14    
INLD         23-34
HJC             2-6     (Vote Share  8%)
Others         3-6     (Vote Share  14-15%)

Haryana Assembly Election 2014 opinion Poll

Haryana, Assembly, Election, 2014,
On 15th October, 2014 Haryana state of India will go to assembly polls. The results of these elections will be available on 19th Oct, 2014. Like Maharashtra assembly election, all political parties are going alone in the Haryana assembly election.

The main political parties in Haryana are BJP, Congress, INLD and HJC. Congress has government in the state for the last ten years. In Loksabha election, BJP has an alliance with HJC but after the poor performance of HJC is Loksabha election, it decided to go alone in Haryana.

Now we have few opinion polls by TV channels like ABP, India TV for Haryana assembly election 2014.

All these opinion polls point in the same direction that BJP will emerge as the single largest political party in Haryana by winning 30 to 36 seats.

As per surveys, INLD will emerge as second largest political party by winning 22 to 27 seats. Congress will be in third place with 13 to 17 seats and HJC at fourth place with with 8 to 12 seats.

In general, opinion polls are based on very small samples (3000 to 5000); therefore, it will not be right to completely trust them.

We need to wait till 19th Oct to see actual results for Haryana Assembly Election 2014.


Opinion Poll Results for Maharashtra Assembly Election 2014

Opinion polls, Maharashtra Assembly, 2014,
Maharashtra Assembly elections are just few days away and on 19th Oct, 2014, we will know about exact results when final count will take place. Meanwhile, everyone is busy in predicting possible outcomes of Maharashtra Assembly election 2014.

This time, the fight for Maharashtra Assembly has become four sided because of the split in 25 year old BJP-Shiv Sena and 15 years old Congress-NCP political alliances. Now all these political parties will face each other in coming election; due to this reason, it has become even more difficult to tell who will be the winner in these elections.

All political parties in Maharashtra are claiming that they will win these elections; however, we will know the exact results on 19th Oct. Congress-NCP combine was in power in Maharashtra from last 15 years; however, this time both parties decided to go alone because of a fight over seat sharing.

Same was also the reason of split between 25 years old BJP-Shiv Sena alliance.

At present, we have three opinion polls by Aaj Tak, Zee Business and The Week. All these three opinion polls have given different possibilities; however, one thing is common in all of them that BJP will emerge single largest political party in Maharashtra after these elections.

As per the surveys, BJP is likely to get 90 to 153 seats in Maharashtra. Two surveys have put Shiv Sena at number two while one survey has put Congress on number two.

As per surveys combined Shiv Sena can get 35 to 85 seats while Congress can get 25 to 70 seats. NCP is likely to get 20 to 35 seats. MNS is likely to get 7 to 20 seats.

If these surveys are going to be correct, then BJP can be a single largest political party in Maharashtra or it may win a majority. However, all of these surveys are just about 5000 to 8000 samples; therefore, we can't blindly trust them.

The best possible option will be waiting till 19th Oct, 2014 for the final verdict. 

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