Who will win Punjab Assembly Election 2017?

Punjab, Assembly Election, 2017, Punjab Election,
Punjab is going to the assembly polls in 2017 and this election's outcome will take who is going to form the next government in the Punjab. For the last two elections, BJP-SAD alliance has emerged as the winner by defeating Congress. So far, the election fight in Punjab has remained bi-polar with Congress at one side and BJP-SAD alliance at the other side. However, this Punjab is going to see a tri-angular fight because of the strong presence of the AAP in the state.

In the 2014 Loksabha election, Punjab was the only state where the Aam Admi Party (AAP) won four Loksabha seats; though soon two of its MPs split away from the party. Despite this, it looks that AAP can give a good fight or at least spoil the dream of either party/alliance. Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) and Bhartya Janta Party (BJP) alliance is likely to face strong anti-incumbency, which may go in the advantage of either Congress or AAP.

Congress is an old political party and it has strong presence in Punjab. This party has given many Chief Ministers to the state. Few days, Manpreet Singh Badal (nephew of Chief Minister Parkash Singh Badal) merged his political party People's Party of Punjab (PPP) into the Congress. This move has given some strength to Congress party; however, in reality PPP don't enjoy much base in Punjab. When BJP and SAD come together, then, it became a winning combination because this alliance was able to appeal both Hindu and Sikh voters of Punjab who are in majority.

Present Deputy Chief Minister of Punjab, Sukhbir Singh Badal said a few days back that he is confident of his alliance win 2017 too because of condition of Punjab has improved in their tenure. The main issues in Punjab are unemployment, poor infrastructure, corruption, drug abuse, sand mafia and involvement of names of political leaders in corruption. Due to these reasons, it is likely that the SAD-BJP will face strong anti-incumbency; however, it depends on them, how they tackle it.

Both Congress and AAP are looking to get an advantage from the anti-incumbency against the present government. However, it is still not clear that who will get maximum benefit from it. The issue with Congress is that it lacks new faces and it is struggling with internal fights. Congress has a good presence in Punjab; however, it is somewhat disconnected with voters at the root level. On the other hand, AAP is working on the root level through their 1 Lakh plus volunteers.

So far, it looks a tough tri-angular fight between BJP-SAD, Congress and AAP. Still, there is a one year time for this election and all parties have a good time to correct their issues. At this time, I see a tight fight between Congress and AAP with BJP-SAD is strongly flowing behind.

Still, with one year for elections, many things can change and I will keep on updating on all these updates.


Punjab Assembly Election 2017 (Political Scenario)

Punjab, Assembly Election, 2017, Punjab Election,
In the year of 2017, Punjab will go for assembly election and elects its new government. For the last nine years BJP-SAD alliance is in power and they will like to win the 2017 Punjab Assembly again. However, on the ground situation is not so simple for SAD-BJP to make a hit trick in Punjab. This time Punjab will see a tri-angular fight between BJP-SAD, AAP and Congress.

In Earlier assembly elections, It was a fight between BJP-SAD and Congress only. In the 2014 Loksaba election, AAP surprised many by winning 4 Loksaba seats. Punjab was the only state where AAP got any Loksaba seat. However, after the 2014 Loksabha election, many things have changed for AAP too. Recently, two of its MPs, and few leaders left APP thus making it weak in the state.

Congress is one of the main contenders for power in Punjab and they are waiting for the last ten years to win back the Punjab assembly election. Congress, high-command has put its trust on their old and tested solider Amarinder Singh. He as remained Chief Minister of Punjab and he is very popular in Punjab. In Loksabha election 2014, he defeated BJP's top most leader Arun Jaitely.

SAD and BJP depend on each other to win the Assembly election again in Punjab because both parties help the other party by increasing its vote share. SAD enjoys a good support among the Sikh voters, while BJP enjoys support base among the Hindu voters. When both these parties fight together, then they appeal to a large segment of voters in Punjab. However, this time this alliance will face anti-incumbency because of their ten year rule in the state.

After the BJP's victory Haryana some of BJP leaders were so excited that the expressed hopes of fighting the Punjab Assembly election alone. However, after BJP's recent defeats, it is unlikely that the BJP will risk going alone for the Punjab Assembly election.

Though, the elections in Punjab are one year away; however, all the political parties or alliances have started their poll campaigns so that they can attract more and more numbers of voters. Due to the tri-angular fight, the Punjab Assembly Election 2017 will present an exciting fight.

The main election issues in Punjab will be unemployment, drug abuse, corruption, poverty, poor condition of farmers, the development of rural areas, Religious matters. At present all political parties are making tall claims to vow the voters. However, the final results will tell what the voters of Punjab think.

JDU lead Alliance is heading for victory in Bihar Assembly Election 2015 (As per Trend)

If we go with the trends, then JDU+RJD+Congress alliance is going to make government in Bihar again. If these trends become results, then it will be a great shock for the BJP and Narendra Modi. BJP was very confident of winning these elections based on the popularity of Narendra Modi.

These trends also indicate that magic, alliance of JDU, RJD and Congress has worked and people of Bihar are somewhat unhappy with the policies of the BJP lead government at the center.

Exit Poll Results Bihar Assembly Election 2015

Bihar Assembly 2015 will come to end today with the end of polling in the last (fifth) phase of the election. With this, we will also get the exit poll results from the various media and survey agencies. Though, the final results of the Bihar Assembly election 2015 will be available on 8th Nov, however, these exit poll results will provide some idea of upcoming results. The exit poll results for the Bihar will be available by 8 PM today.


Exit Poll Results Bihar Assembly Elections are available as-

The Exit poll Results for the Bihar Assembly Election 2015 are showing mixed results with some showing win of BJP lead alliance and some showing win of JDU alliance.

The edge is with JDU alliance because more numbers of exit polls are predicting JDU+ win as compared to BJP.

Though, the Exit polls are highly divided and we will only get the final results on 8th Nov, 2015.

One thing is clear from all the exit polls that fight will be every tight in Bihar and the margin of win will be very less.

ABP News -                        BJP+  108     JDU + 130   Oth   5
AajTak -                              BJP+  111-127  JDU+   110-124   Oth  4-8
News24 (Chanakya) -         BJP+  155   JDU +  83    Oth  3
News Nation-                     BJP+   117     JDU+ 122     Oth  4
India TV C-Voter               BJP+   111    JDU+   122    Oth  10
News X CNX                     BJP+    93     JDU+  132      Oth  18
 


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