Effect Dera Sacha Sauda Support for Akali BJP



Effect, Punjab Assembly Election, Akali, BJP, Dera Sacha Sauda Yesterday, Gurmeet Ram Rahim Singh's Sacha Sauda finally announced its support for the Akali - BJP alliance in Punjab. In the last assembly election too it supported this alliance and it was one of the main factors of Akali-BJP win in the state. However, it is needed to be seen that Dera Sacha Sauda support will work again for Akali-BJP combine or not because Akali-BJP combine is facing 10 years of incumbency. Moreover, Alakli-BJP combine has also come under attack from Sikh organizations who are against Dera Sacha Sauda's Gurmeet Ram Rahim for his controversial act. 

Though, Akali Dal tried last year to create peace between Dera Sacha Sauda and various Sikh Organization, however, these talks failed. Therefore, if Akali-BJP combine gets vote of Dera followers on the one side, then they are also on the edge of losing the votes of many followers of Sikh organizations who are against Dera Sacha Sauda. Overall, it is difficult to tell that this move will help Akali-BJP combine or create problems for them. On 11th March, we will get to know about it. 

Opinion Poll/Exit Poll Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election 2017

Recently, In the article Who will win 2017 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election? We discussed about the various possibilities in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections for all political parties and alliances. This time, Uttar Pradesh will see a main fight  between the Congress-SP combine, BJP and BSP. Samajwadi Party will like to retain the power of UP again with the help of Congress while BJP wants to repeat the success of 2014 Loksabha election. BSP is also looking to come back to power after a gap of five years. 

In Uttar Pradesh assembly election 2017, we will see tough fight at all assembly seats and some of the seats will have tough triangular fight. In a triangular, it is difficult to predict the exact results so we are getting conflicting survey results on the Uttar Pradesh. Some opinion polls are putting BJP ahead while others have given the Congress-SP an edge over others. Whole all the surveys are clear on third position of BSP. If we go by these exit and opinion polls by various news agencies then it looks that there is tough fight between BJP and Congress-SP alliance while BSP may remain at third place. 

More, most of election surveys are pointing at hung assembly with winning alliance or party may get between 175-185 seats. However, the opinion polls have gone wrong many times, we can get the exact results on 11th March, 2017 only. 

Exit Poll/Opinion Poll Punjab Assembly Election 2017

Punjab, Assembly Election, 2017, Punjab Election,
  In the last post, Who will win 2017 Punjab Assembly Election 2? We discussed about the various possibilities which can take shape. This time, we will see a straight fight between BJP-Akali Dal Combine, Congress and AAP. After many years, Punjab will see a triangular fight in the assembly elections. All three political parties and alliances are making claims of their win in the upcoming assembly elections, however, we all know that it is not going to be easy for any party or alliance. All the parties have put their whole energy in the election battle so that they can win this election. 

AAP's Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal is in Punjab to promote his party and his party is going door to door in the Malwa belt of the Punjab because maximum numbers of seats come from this region. Congress, which is otherwise hopeful of win is also worried about the increasing influence of AAP and they know that AAP can play a role of game spoiler for Congress. Meanwhile, we do also have many election polls and survey results in front of us from media houses. 

Most of these surveys are pointing one thing clearly that Congress is more likely to emerge as single largest party in the state or win an absolute majority. However, there is also the contradiction in these surveys because some surveys are showing that AAP and BJP-Akali Dal as winners. 

However, if we combine all the surveys, then the results may go this way. Congress at first position, AAP at second and BJP-Akali Dal at third. But, it is common that results may come different than the surveys so we can wait till 11th March, 2017 to know the exact results. 


Punjab Assembly Election 2017 who will win Part 2 (Opinion Poll)

Punjab, Assembly Election, 2017, Punjab Election,
In the previous article "Who will win Punjab Assembly election 2017", I discussed options which were present last year. In the last six months, many things have changed and Punjab Assembly election 2017 are going for a tough battle between Congress, BJP-Akali Dal combine and AAP. All three parties/alliances are doing all things to attract the voters of Punjab. However, still today no one is perfectly sure that who will make next government in the state.

Today, many election surveys and opinion polls are present in front of us; however, all of them are giving contradictory results. Some surveys are predicting that Akali Dal-BJP alliance will once again make next government, while others are predicting that Congress will be a single largest political party in Punjab after the 2017 Assembly election. While some other surveys and internal surveys of AAP are saying that AAP is going to win 100 plus assembly seats in Punjab.

Therefore, we can say that picture about who will 2017 Punjab assembly election is still not clear and we will get the final results only on 11th March, 2017.  Punjab Assembly has 117 seats and any political party needs to win 59 assembly seats to make next government in the state. BJP-Akali Dal is trying hard to win the 2017 assembly election so that they can retain the power for the third time; however, this alliance need to face strong incumbency factor to win votes. Moreover, there are many segments of people unhappy with the SAD and BJP on numbers of issues like illegal mining, drug misuse, corruption and religious matters.

Congress is emerging as a strong contender; however, they lost the last assembly elections to Akali Dal-BJP. Congress is facing double competition from BJP-Akali Dal and AAP. This is for the first time when Punjab is a seeing a three party strong contest; therefore, most of political observers are keeping their mouths shut. It is quite difficult to predict the exact results when there is a three side contest and all sides are strong. However, one thing comes out clearly that Congress has strong chances of emerging single largest political party after the assembly election.

AAP is giving a strong fight in Punjab and it is likely to win few assembly seats; however, major difficulty with AAP is that it is not strong in assembly seats of Punjab. AAP is quite strong in the Malwa region of Punjab; however, in other regions it may not be in the winning position.

However, it is quite difficult to get the exact trend because of tough contest. We can wait till 11th March to see who will win and who will lose.

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