Who will win Bihar Assembly Election 2015?

Bihar, Assembly election, 2015, Nitesh Kumar,
By the end of this year, we will witness elections in one of the most important states of India i.e. Bihar. Bihar is a very crucial state of India because 40 Loksabha and 16 Rajya Sabha seats. At present Nitesh Kumar of JDU is Chief minister of Bihar with the support of Lalu Yadav's party RJD.

Bihar offers a big challenge to the Narendra Modi government at center because these elections will tell Narendra Modi's Karishma is still present or it has faded. These elections are also very crucial for the Nitesh Kumar and Lalu Yadav, who have come together to stop the BJP from winning Bihar Assembly election.

Bihar, Assembly election, Narendra Modi
There is a total of 243 assembly seats in Bihar and any political party or alliance will need to win 122 assembly seats to make next government in Bihar. In the 2010 Bihar Assembly election, BJP and JDU fought together and they clean swept the elections with a victory in 206 assembly seats. The BJP won 91 seats and JDU 115 seats while RJD was left with 22 seats only.

However, JDU splits away from the BJP in June, 2013 before the Loksabha Election when BJP decided to make Narendra Modi BJP's Priministarial candidate.  JDU continued its government with the support of Congress and independents.

Bihar, Assembly election, 2015, lalu YadavBihar saw many political changes with Jitan Ram Manjhi becoming 23rd Chief Minister of Bihar for a short span of a few months. Later Manjhi floated a new political party Hindustani Awam Morcha after his split with JDU. At this crucial stage RJD helped Nitesh Kumar to again become CM of Bihar.

Now both RJD and JDU have decided to fight these elections together and Congress will be part of this alliance. On the other hand, BJP, LJP and newly formed Hindustani Awam Morcha will fight together.

The main fight is between these two alliances and one of them will win the Bihar Assembly Election. Both these alliances have their strong and weak points; therefore, we will see an interesting fight in Bihar.

Politics in Bihar changes very fasts; therefore, we can see many new surprises till the election finishes and a new government is in power. Last year election predictions related to Bihar gave an edge to BJP alliance in polls; however, the situations are changing very fast at ground in Bihar; therefore it is very hard to exactly predict who will win these elections.

In recently held Bihar Legislative Council election BJP won 13 seats out of 24 whereas JDU-RJD won just 10 seats. In general, we can say that the fight for Bihar Assembly is going to be tough and it will test on the ground that who is a strong leader among the people of Bihar. 

AAP to make government in Delhi as per the Exit Polls

There is a good news for the AAP and a bad news for the BJP if we go by the exit polls. All exit polls have given a majority to the AAP in today held Delhi Assembly election 2015. BJP tried very hard to win these elections and it brought Kiran Bedi into BJP to tackle popularity of Arvind Kejrewal.

If predictions of exit polls become true on 10th Feb, 2015 then it will be first major defeat for the BJP. As the per exit poll, AAP to 41% votes in Delhi Assembly election, which are 12% more than Delhi Assembly election of 2013.

The BJP vote share is likely to remain 33% just one percent more than a last assembly election.

As per the exit polls, AAP can get 35 to 55 seats in Delhi and BJP can get 20-30 and Congress just 0-4.

In recent times, exit poll predictions have become quite accurate; therefore, this is clearly a worrying sign for BJP. It looks that BJP's strategies to defeat AAP have failed in Delhi.

The final results will available on 10th Feb, 2015 and then, we will come to know that who is the real winner of Delhi. So far exit polls have made Arvind Kejrewal again CM of Delhi. 

Exit Poll Results Delhi Assembly Election 2015

Exit Poll, Results, Delhi, Assembly Election, 2015
Exit Poll Results Delhi Assembly Election 2015

Today, voters of Delhi voted for the next government in Delhi. The counting of votes of Delhi Assembly election 2015 will take place on 10th Feb, 2015. Soon, exit poll results for the Delhi Assembly election will be available in front of us.

The main fight in Delhi is between the BJP, AAP and Congress. There are total of 70 assembly seats in Delhi and Any party or alliance needs to win more than 36 seats to make next government.

63% voting in Delhi till 5 PM.

AAP to make next government in Delhi as per latest Exit poll results 


Expected Vote Share of Parties   as per the voting by 3 PM

Congress     16%    (-9%)
BJP              37%    (+3%)
AAP            41%    (+11%)

Expected Combined Seats of Various Parties as per the voting by 3 PM

Congress   0-5
BJP           15-29
AAP          35-55


All leading exit polls like ABP new, Zee News, Aaj Tak etc have given victory signals for AAP in Delhi Assembly election 2015. Though, the final results of Delhi Assembly election 2015 will be available on 10th Feb, 2015.



Schedule and Time Table Delhi Assembly Election 2015 and By Election Loksabha and Assembly

Schedule, Time Table, Delhi, Assembly Election, 2015
Delhi Assembly Election 2015
Today, the election commission of India announced the dates of polls in Delhi and for Loksabha and Assembly By-elections. Voting in Delhi 2015 Assembly polls will take place on 7th Feb, 2015 and voting for BY-election will take place on 13th Feb, 2015.

The counting of votes will take place on 10th Feb, 2015 for Delhi Assembly election and 16th Feb, 2015 for the By-election.

In Delhi, there are total 70 Assembly seats and out of which 12 are reserved for SCs.

The total number of voters in Delhi is 13085251. To conduct these polls free and fair, 11763 polling stations will be made in Delhi.

In Delhi assembly election 2015 voters will get Basic Minimum Facilities (BMF) like drinking water, shed, toilet, ramp for the physically challenged voters and a standard voting compartment etc.

People can call toll free number 1950 for any complaint regarding Delhi Assembly Election 2015.

Complete Schedule and Time Table of Delhi Assembly Election 2015-

Date of Notification -   14-01-15
Last date of Nomination -  21-01015
Date of Scrutiny -   22-01-15
Last Date of Withdrawal - 24-01-15
Date of Poll - 07-02-15
Date of Counting - 10-02-15


With Delhi Assembly Election, By-elections for one Loksabha Seat and six assembly seats in six states will take place

Loksabha Polls Byelectio - 

Bangaon (SC)   West Bengal

Assembly Polls Byelection-

Liromoba (ST)   Anunachal Pradesh
Panaji                  Goa
Srirangam           Tamilnadu
Krishnaganj (SC)   West Bengal
Mukhed               Maharashtra
Tirupati               Andhra Pradesh


Schedule for Loksabha and Assembly By-Election 2015

Date of Notification -   19-01-15
Last date of Nomination -  27-01015
Date of Scrutiny -   28-01-15
Last Date of Withdrawal - 30-01-15
Date of Poll - 13-02-15
Date of Counting - 16-02-15



    







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