Why Honest and Ordinary people don't come into politics?

Mostly, our politicians in Indian are seen as corrupt people who come to power to make money and increase their influence. Moreover, all this doesn't stop at corruption, many of these politicians are involved in heinous crimes too.

Due to this reason, we all ask this question that Why Honest and Ordinary people don't come into politics?
honest candidates, loksaba election 2014

I always tried to find answers to this question and after so many years, I have got few answers.

Today, Indian politics has become very dirty due to the presence of corrupt and dishonest leaders. To make all this worse, a good number of such leaders are involved in various crimes.

We can solve this problem by sending honest and good leaders in parliament and state assemblies. However, unfortunately not many good and honest people come into politics and if some tries to come then they never succeed.

Have you ever thought, what is the reason behind it?

Here are few reasons discovered by me

1) Need of Huge Wealth- The number one reason is requirement of huge wealth for fighting an election.  Though, the election commission has issued notification for use of maximum money in an election; however, most of candidates spend many times of this limit. Therefore, the cost of fighting an election crosses many crores which most of honest and good people can't afford.

The use of black money is very common and corrupt leader uses everything to attract voters. They give voters' money, alcohol, good food and some many such things to lure voters.

The money is circulated so smartly and innovatvely that such leaders never got caught and they succeed in influencing people to great extent.

2) Use of Religion and Caste - In India, it is very common to use religion and caste for influencing voters. Political parties and leaders are doing it very smart to influence a larger base of voters in the name of religion and caste. Just below elections, parties and politicians try to divide people on the name of caste and religion so that they can gain easy votes.

People are made to believe that only a leader of their caste or religion can benefit them and due to deep rooted religious and caste hatreds such practices become successful in Indian culture.

An honest and good leader will never use such practices and he will see everyone equally.

3) Use of False or luring Promises - Before elections, every leader and political party make many false and luring promises to attract voters. Many voters get carried away by such false and luring promises and give their votes to the wrong candidates.

It is important for voters to see long term gains over short term gain and not vote for such leaders who try to gain their votes by making false or luring promises.

4) Use of Power and Threat - In many parts of India, there are still many leaders who are involved in crime or they support criminals. At the time of election, such leaders use their influence and try to threaten voters.

A good and honest leader never uses any of above mentioned tricks or methods to win an election; therefore, it becomes very difficult for a good and honest leader to enter into politics and win elections.

To a large extent, we voters are responsible for all this because we support wrong candidates over better candidates,

In the 2014 Loksabha election, I expect from people that they will vote for good candidates and if they don't find a good candidate then they should select none of the above candidates.




Rise or Fall of Aam Admi Party (AAP)? How many seats AAP will win in Loksabha election 2014?

At present everyone is talking about the fall of Arvind Kejriwal lead Aam Admi party (AAP). As per the latest surveys of this month, It is predicted that there will be a big decrease in vote share and numbers of seats won by AAP.

Though, the AAP does not have very long past, this party just came into existence last year and showed great performance in Delhi assembly election 2013. Arvind Kejriwal even become CM of Delhi with the outside support of the Congress.
loksabha election, 2014, AAP

AAP government lasted for 49 days over the issue of Delhi Jan Lokpal bill. Now Arvind Kejriwal and AAP party are looking towards Loksaba election and they have put their candidates on hundreds of Loksaba seats across India.

The one thing is very interesting about the AAP, and its fast rise of this party. Earlier, we have not seen such a fast spread of a political party in India. As per some surveys and reports, AAP candidates are in good position at 100 Loksabha seats and they can win up to 50 seats, if  things go in their favor.

However, there are many ifs with AAP and it is very difficult to predict actual performance of the AAP in Loksabha election 2014. In the 2013 Delhi Assembly election, All opinion polls and surveys gave AAP less than 10 seats. However, it surprised everyone with 28 seats.

Again, all predictions and surveys for 2014 Loksabha election have given AAP less than 10 seats. Will it be so or AAP will surprise us again by showing a good performance in the 2014 Loksaba election.
Arvind Kejriwal, Loksabha election, 2014

The good point in the favor of AAP is a selection of simple and influential candidates. AAP's top leader Arvind Kejriwal has announced that he will fight from the Varanasi Loksabha seat against BJP's primisterial candidate Narindra Modi.

All latest surveys are saying that AAP's popularity is on the decrease and even in Delhi, they will win just three seats.

However, I believe that AAP is a like a sutli bomb. This boom can explode or it may never explode.

Both Congress and BJP refer AAP as B team of other.

Despite all arguments and surveys, entry of AAP into politics have made the 2014 Loksabha election very interesting and difficult to predict because few seats here and there can make or break the future of many leaders and political parties.

In my estimates, AAP has potential of surprising us by winning double digit seats; however, it will be wrong to expect much from it.

At the end, we should leave everything on the shoulders of Indian voters who have all powers. 

Who will win Loksabha Election 2014? Final update (Opinion Polls)

Check Live Loksabha Election 2014 and Assembly Results

Loksabha election 2014 are just one month away from now; it is right time to make some final comments. In this series, I wrote my first article last year on Jan 30, 2014. You can read this article here Who will win 2014 Loksabha Election in India? Predictions/Opinion Poll. In last one year, many things have changed in Indian politics and all such things are likely to affect the final results of Loksabha election 2014.

About Online Poll- First of all, I will like to show the results of the small online poll, which I added below earlier article and asked readers to give their choice for favorite party or alliance for the 2014 Loksabha poll. At that time, there was no presence of the Aam Admi Party (AAP) so it is not listed below.

This poll got a total of 3507 votes.

2747 (78.33%) people showed support for the BJP lead NDA
487 (13.89%) people showed support for Congress lead UPA
107 (3.05%) for Third Front
166 (4.77%) for Hung Loksabha

Here, let me clear you one thing that this is a small poll containing small people and numbers of them may be true voters of India. Therefore, it is not right to blindly believe this data.
Loksabha polls, 2014, NDA, BJP

Second, this data don't give any idea of the damage caused by AAP to other political parties.




What opinion polls are saying? In last one week, many News Channels and Print Media channels have also given their final predictions. Most of these results give a near about same predictions.

All these predictions are favoring BJP lead NDA; however, an interesting thing is that no one is giving the complete majority to NDA. As per these predictions, BJP lead NDA is likely to get 200 to 240 seats.

All these predictions are also clear on the bad performance of the Congress lead UPA and they are giving it 100 to 150 seats.
Loksabha, 2014, prediction, Congress

Third front which has no official presence is given 150 to 180 seats.

The simple meaning of these predictions is that BJP lead NDA will be most near of formation of next government; however, to do so it will require the support of other parties like TMC and AIDMK.

Or the second probable picture is formation of third front government with the outside support of Congress.

What I Say? - I have been actively covering Loksabha and seat elections from the last fifteen years and in these years, I have got lots of insight on Indian politics. With time, many things have changed in Indian politics and present Indian voters are much wiser than their earlier generations.

Now people understood well vote politics of all political parties and they are aware of wrong practices present all political parties. Therefore, I believe that final results can be very different than these predictions.

For the first time, we will have the option of using of none of the above button on EVM, which we can use when we don't like all of the above candidates. I expect good numbers of people using this option if they don't like a single candidate.
AAP, Aam Admi Party, Loksabha prediction, 2014

Moreover, the emergence of new political forces like AAP will affect outcome my Loksabha seats.

If we try to draw a picture of the future outcome of Loksabha election than BJP lead NDA looks ahead in this race but still behind the final mark. Congress lead UPA trailing in these trends.

However, from smart and educated Indian voters, we can expect that they will surprise by pressing the right button by putting hand on their heart.

It is in the hands on all of us to choose the right candidates for the next Loksabha election 2014.


Triangular Contest between Gul Panag, Kirron Kher and Pawan Bansal for Chandigarh Loksabha Seat. Who will Win?

Kirron Kher, Chandigarh, Loksabha seat, Loksabha election
For 2014 Loksabha Election, we are going to witness a great fight for Chandigar Loksabha seat. Here we will see a triangular contest between Gul Panag of AAP, Kirron Kher of BJP and formal union minister for Raliway Pawan Bansal. Pawan Bansal is only an experienced politician among Kirron Kher and Gul Panag. Pawan Bansal won Chandigarh Loksaba seat for four times; therefore, we can say he knows Chandigarh and people of Chandigarh very well.

On the other hand, Kirron Kher and Gul Panag are known names of Glamour world and both are related to Chandigarh well. Gul Panag studies masters in Political science from Chandigarh University. Kirron Kher spent her earlier life in Chandigarh and she basically belongs from a Sikh family. Like Gul Panag, Kirron Kher too got her education from Panjab University, Chandigarh.

With the announcement of the names of Gul Panag and Kirron Kher, the Chandigarh Loksabha seat has become a matter of debate. These days people are busy with predictions of who will win Chandigarh Loksabha seat. At the end of the day, whoever may win in Chandigarh, but one thing is clear that Chandigarh Loksabha seat will remain talks till the results of Loksabhe elections are announced.
Gul Panag, Chandigarh, Loksabha seat, Loksabha election

Now it is to be seen that double dose of glamour will help AAP and BJP to win Chandigarh Loksaba seat or it will help Congress to retain the Chandigarh seat.

There is no doubt that all three candidates are strong with their followers and we will witness a tough fight for Chandigarh seat. Pawan Bansal is likely to face anti-incumbency factor and rival parties will promote last year's bribe incidence involving his nephew.
Pawan Bansal, Chandigarh, Loksabha seat, Loksabha election

Therefore, we can expect decrease in numbers of votes for Pawan Bansal this year. However, one factor is in his favor that is presence of two strong opponents. Both Gul Panag and Kirron Kher are strong candidates; therefore, votes against Pawan Bansal can split into both these candidates; thus giving one more chance to Pawan Bansal.

Still, Elections are in campaigning phase and people are making their mood; therefore, we see many changes in trends till the voting day.

It greatly depends on the election campaigns of these candidates to win the Chandigarh seat. All three candidates have an almost equal opportunity to win the election, now on it is their and their parties approach will decide their success or failure in the election.

Time Table and Schedule Loksabha Election 2014 and Assembly Elections in Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and Sikkim 2014 Statewise Detail of Loksabha Schedule

Check Live Results Loksabha Election 2014

Today, Election commision of India annouced the dates of biggest elections of all democracy in world i.e. India Loksabha (Parliamentry) election 2014. These are biggest election of any democracy because of more than 84 crore eligible voters. These elections will take place between April 7 and May 12 of this year. With this announcement, all powers of government has gone in to the hands of election commission.

Present Loksabha is going to expire to on May 31, 2014; therefore, it is important for election commission to complete elections before this date. This time Loksabha elections will be conducted in the nine phases /rounds starting from April 7 and ending on May 12. The counting of votes for all nine phases will take place on May 16, 2014.

The dates of nine phases of Loksabha polls are April (7, 9, 10, 12, 17, 24 and 30) and May 7 and 12. 2009 Loksabha election was conducted by the election commission in five phases.

With Loksabha election 2014, election has decided to conduct elections for assembly elections in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and Sikkim.

In Andhra Pradesh Assembly elections with Loksabha election will be conducted in two phases on April 30 and May 7.

The Odisha Assembly election and Loksabha election will take place in two phases on April 10 and 17.

The Sikkim Assembly election will take on a single day on April 12.

Statewise detail of Loksabha election 2014

Phase 1 April 07/2014

Assam  5
Tripura 1

Phase 2  April 09/2014

Arunachal Pradesh  2
Manipur                  1
Meghalaya              2
Mizoram                 1
Nagaland                1

Phase 3   April 10. 2014

Andaman Nicobar   1
Bihar                       6
Chandigarh              1
Chhattisgarh             1
Haryana                   10
J&K                        1
Jharkhand                5
Kerala                     20
Lakshadweep           1
Madhya Pradesh      9
Maharashtra             10
Delhi                        7
Orissa                      10
UP                          10

Phase 4  April 12, 2014

Assam        3
Sikkim        1
Tripura        1

Phase 5  April  17, 2014

Bihar                      7
Chattisgarh             3
Goa                       2
J&K                      1
Jharkhand              5
Karnataka             28
Madhya Pradesh   10
Maharashtra          19
Manipur                 1
Orissa                    11
Rajasthan               20
Uttar Pradesh         11
West Bengal           4

Phase 6  April  24, 2014

Assam                  6
Bihar                    7
Chattishgarh         7
J&K                    1
Jharkhand            4
Madhya Pradesh  10
Maharashtra         19
Puducherry           1
Rajasthan              5
Tamil Nadu           39
UP                       12
West Bengal         6

Phase  7 April  30, 2014


Andhra Pradesh     17
Bihar                      7
Dadra Nagar          1
Daman & Diu         1
Gujarat                  26
J&K                       1
Punjab                    13
Utter Pradesh          14
West Bengal            9

Phase  8  May 07, 2014

Andhra Pradesh       25
Bihar                        7
Himachal Pradesh     4
J&K                         2
UP                           15
Uttrakhand               5
West Bengal             6

Phase  9     May 12, 2014

Bihar                       6
Uttar Pradesh         18
West Bengal           17



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