Will exit poll results for Gujarat Assembly election 2017 can go wrong?

Finally tomorrow, we will get the final results of Gujarat Assembly Election 2012. On the 14th Dec, we get numbers of exit poll results for the Gujarat Assembly election and they all predicted win for BJP. As per these exit polls of various agencies, BJP is likely to get 98 to 140 seats in Gujarat and on the other hand, Congress might not succeed in the election despite increases vote share. 

However, there are some surveys and opinion polls which put Congress as the winner in Gujarat. Therefore, we can say that there are some chances of slight up and down in Gujarat Election. Tomorrow within few hours, we will have a clear picture in front of us. Now, it is to be seen that we see a tough fight or a one-sided battle in Gujarat. 

Final Exit Poll Results Gujarat Assembly Election 2017

The results of Gujarat Assembly Election 2017 are awaited by people across India because everyone wants to know who will emerge as a winner in these elections. The interest of people in Gujarat Assembly election has increased many times because of our prime minister Narendra Modi who comes from Gujarat and was earlier Chief Minister of state. This time again BJP is fighting these elections in the name of Modi. The main battle in Gujarat Assembly elections is between BJP and Congress. Rahul Gandhi has put all his energy and efforts to win these elections and he hopes to finish 22 years of exile of Congress from Gujarat government. 

Moreover, BJP is also worried about the three young leaders, Hardik, Alpesh, and Jignesh, who can dent vote bank of BJP. Though, we will get our final answers on 18 Dec when final results will come but we can get some idea on 14th Dec when most of exit poll results will be available in front of us. 

Now, we have all the exit poll results from various news agencies. All these exit polls are pointing to the victory of BJP in Gujarat. Earlier, it was expected that Congress might give a tough fight to BJP; however, all exit polls are pointing at a comfortable win for BJP.

Expected Results of Gujarat Assembly Election 2017

BJP      100-140
Congress 50-80
Others      1-5

Who wil win in Gujarat Assembly Election 2017?

Narendra Modi, PM, Gujarat Election, 2017At present, the question who will win Gujarat Assembly election 2017 is asked everywhere because everyone wants to know the answer. This time the situation in Gujarat has become very interesting because BJP is getting a tough competition from Congress for the first time. In Gujarat, the main political fight is only between BJP and Congress. BJP is in power in Gujarat for the last 22 years and they now even have power in the center with former Gujarat CM as the Prime Minister of India. This thing has put more pressure on BJP because it can't afford to lose Gujarat otherwise, they can't win the 2019 Loksabha election. 

 Get Live Results Gujarat and Himachal Election 2017

gujarat, Assembly election, 2017, Rahul GandhiTherefore, BJP has put all efforts to register a win in these elections and it does show that they are confidence enough to win again. However, this time many things are making situation hard for BJP in Gujarat. First thing is the aggressive approach taken by the Congress and its newly elected president Rahul Gandhi who is trying to please as many Gujaratis as he can. He even doesn't leave any temple in Gujarat where he didn't go. He also highlighted many of issues and problems faced by the Gujarati people and especially youth. Now how much this aggressive move will benefit Congress that only time will tell us. 

Hardik Patel, Gujarat, Assembly election, 2017,
The other big hurdle for BJP is young Patidar leader Hardik Patel who is promoting against BJP and asking Patidars once loyal BJP voters to not vote for it. Hardik Patel rallies are able to attract the young crowd but the real effect of his campaign against BJP will be tested in the final results. BJP is also getting a challenge from young OBC and Dalit leaders like Alpesh Thakor and Jignesh. 

In the last assembly election, BJP has the vote share of appx 47% while Congress as appx 38% thus a difference of 9% which is a huge difference and resulted in 119 sears for BJP and only 57 seats for Congress. Now can Congress bridge the 9% vote share gap is to be seen on the 18th Dec when we will get the actual results? If we consider the earlier opinion polls then they were in the favor for BJP but they all indicated that Congress might improve. 

On 14th Dec, we will get the exit poll results after the second and final phase of elections are over in Gujarat. These exit poll results can provide some idea about the next winner of Gujarat Assembly election 2017. 

Will opinion poll results hold true for Himachal Pradesh?

On 18th December, we will come to know that who will make next governments in the state of Himachal Pradesh and Gujarat. Himachal Pradesh polls have already been completed last month while one phase of elections is still pending in Gujarat. Today, I will talk about the assembly elections of Himachal. I also cast my vote for Baijnath assembly seat in Himachal Pradesh; therefore, I am excited to know who will emerge the winner in these elections. 

In Himachal, Congress was in the power and they ruled the state for five years. Now, its time for next winners to form a government. Will it be Congress again or this time BJP will win? If we go by the various opinions available with us then BJP is likely to emerge as the winner and it will make the next government in the state; however, we also need to consider that how reliable are opinion polls. In the past too many opinion polls have failed; therefore, we need to wait until 18 Dec 2017 to see who is the actual winner. 

BJP looks have put more efforts than Congress in Himachal Assembly election and many people make the observation from it that Congress has already accepted its defeat in Himachal. As compared to Himachal, Congress looks to have focused more on Gujarat where they feel that they have a chance. For the clarity, we need to wait for final results. 

Will Congress be able to beat the popularity of Narendra Modi in Gujarat?

Narendra Modi,This Gujarat Assembly election is special because, this time, we see a fight between Congress and BJP after a long time. In the earlier Assembly elections in Gujarat, it was just a cake walk for BJP and it doesn't surprise anyone. However, this time situation is slightly different as Congress with the support of three Young leaders Hardik Patel representing Patidars, Aplesh Thakor representing OBCs and Jignesh Mevani representing Dalits, is expecting to make big changes in Gujarat. Congress alone is not that effective in Gujarat but with some support, it can make a dent in the BJP's stronghold. 

The good thing for Congress is that it is still the main rival political party in Gujarat with more than 38.9% vote share (Last assembly election figures); therefore with some support, it can increase its own assembly seats while cutting the seats of BJP. If Congress succeeds in bridging the gap of votes between Congress and BJP with the help of Patidars, Muslims, OBCs, and Dalits, then Congress can put a good show in the final results of 2017 Gujarat Assembly elections. But the big question is that will people of Gujarat support someone else than Narendra Modi who has put Gujarat on the world map. 

The main key factor for BJP in Gujarat is its Gujarati Prime Minister and I think that every Gujarati feels proud of about it. Therefore, it is quite hard for Congress to win over the huge popularity of Narendra Modi. Due to this reason, many political observers and opinion polls are predicting that Congress might strengthen it position but BJP is likely to win a majority in the Gujarat. But, if anyhow BJP loses these elections then it will also be an alarm bell for BJP for the 2019 Loksabha election. 2017 Gujarat Assembly election will also test what people in Gujarat thinks about the decision taken by Narendra Modi as a prime minister for India. 

To know the answers, we can wait until 18th Dec 2017 when final results will come out and we will learn that magic of Narendra is still working in Gujarat or not. 

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