Statewise Predictions 2014 Loksabha Election (India)

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Elections in the biggest democracy of the world are coming nearer and soon whole of India will get colored in election colors. In Loksabha Election 2014, whole of India will vote, including its all states and union territories. It is many-2 times more difficult to conduct Loksabha Elections than conducting state assembly elections in India. However, the election commission of India is doing this perfectly from last many decades. With the increase in population of India, it becomes difficult every time to manage these elections. Loksabha (the parliament) has a five year term; therefore, we see Loksabha elections after every five years in general. Loksabha elections can be conducted before five years, if no party or alliance can secure a vote of confidence i.e. Support of minimum numbers of MPs.

Within a few days, we can expect an announcement of the dates for the Loksabha Election 2014. At present, the whole of India and the world is busy in predicting outcomes of Loksabha election 2014. To understand, India politics, we are required to keep in mind statewise politics because there are many strong political parties at the state level and they can play major role in the formation of the next government. Below, I have tried to give you an idea of probable results through predictions of the results of Loksabha election 2014 statewise. These predictions are based on all available opinion polls and survey done till date.

Note- Prediction are given in a Range because exact results are impossible to predict.

Andhra Pradesh Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions 

Andhra Pradesh is a vital state when it comes to Loksabha election because it has 42 Loksabha seats. Probably, these are last elections, which we conducted in united Andhra Pradesh because of the division of the state. In Andhra Pradesh, there are many regional forces like TDP, TRS and new created YSR Congress Party. In the 2009 Loksaba election, Congress won 33 seats from Andhra Pradesh. However, this time YSR Congress is likely to emerge biggest party in the state. 

Total Seats 42

Congress 3-6
TDP 9-14
TRS 8-12
YRS 18-27
Oth 2-4

Arunachal Pradesh Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

In Arunachal Pradesh, there are two seats, which were won by Congress in 2009. 
Total seats 2

BJP 0-1
Congress 1-2

Bihar Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Bihar is another crucial state when it comes to Loksabha election because 40 Loksabha seats are present in Bihar. Last time, it was BJP-JDU combine which stole the show by winning 32 seats. JDU won 20 seats and BJP 12. This time JDU is alone and BJP has tied up with LJP. Lalu Yadav's RJD is struggling with internal fights; therefore, BJP-LJP alliance likely to gain. 
Total Seats 40

RJD 4-7
BJP 20-26
JD(U) 8-14
Oth 3-5

Chhattisgarh Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Chhattisgarh state has 11 Loksabha seats. From last two Loksabha elections, the BJP has won 10 seats out of 11. This time also BJP will get a majority of seats. 
T S 11

BJP 9-11
Congress 1-2

Delhi Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

The fight for seven Loksabha seats of Delhi has become very crucial after the entry of AAP.  The last time Congress won 7 out of 7 seats; however, this time Congress looks to be the third player after AAP.
Total Seats 7

Congress 0-2
BJP 3-5
AAP 3-4

Goa Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

With Two Loksabha seats, Goa is a small state. At present trends look to be in favor of BJP. 
TS 2

Congress 0-1
BJP 1-2

Gujarat Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

With 26 Loksabha seats Gujarat is a important state. At present most of trends look in the favour of BJP. 

Congress 4-8
BJP   18-22

Haryana Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

From last tow Loksabha Elections, Haryana has remained strong hold of Congress; however, this time Congress is likely to face strong anti-incumbency in the state. Moreover, AAP can show good performance in Haryana too with a good vote share.

T S 10

Congress 2-4
BJP 5-7
AAP 1-2
Other 1-2

Himachal Pradesh Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Himachal Pradesh is a small Hilly state with 4 Loksabha seats. The Last Time BJP won 3 seats and congress 1. This time we can see a repeat of it like 2004 Loksabha election results. 
T S 4

Congress 2-3
BJP 1-2

J&K Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Jammu and Kashmir state has 6 Loksabha seats. With the presence of many parties, All parties are likely to win one or two seats in their respective strong hold. 
T S 6

Congress 1-2
NC 1-2
PDP 1-2
BJP 1-2
Others 1-2

Jharkhand Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Jharkand has a total of 14 Loksabha seats. Last time, the BJP won 8 seats. This time again, BJP is likely to win a majority of seats. 
TS 14

Cong 3-5
JMM 2-3
RJD 0-1
BJP 8-10

Karnataka Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Karnataka is another vital state of Southern India with 28 Loksabha seats. From last two Loksaba elections, the BJP has won a majority of seats in the state. This time Congress is likely to perform better in state. 
TS 28

BJP 8-12
Congress 14-18
JD(S) 3-5

Kerala Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

In Kerala, the main fight always remains between Congress and Left parties. This time left parties are likely to perform better in state. 
TS 20

CPM 10-12
CPI 3-5
Congress 4-6
Other 3-5

Madhya Pradesh Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Madhya Pradesh wit 29 Loksabha seats is a stronghold of BJP.  BJP is likely to win 20 plus seats. 
T S 29

BJP 20-24
Congress 4-7
other 1-2

Maharashtra Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Maharashtra is a vital state with 42 Loksabha seats. The main fight in Maharashtra is between the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance and Congress-NCP alliance.  Raj Thackeray's MNS and AAP are other good opponents in the state. 

T S 42

Cong 6-9
BJP 14-18
NCP 4-6
Shiv Sena 14-18
Other 4-8

Manipur Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

TS 2

Cong 1-2
Oth 0-1

Meghalaya Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Total seats 2

Congress 1-2
others 0-1

Mizoram Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

T S 1

Congress 0-1
Others 0-1

Nagaland Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

TS 1

Other 1

Orissa Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Orissa is a crucial state for Loksabha election with 21 seats. So far, BJP has shown great performance in the state by winning majority of seats. 
TS 21

BJD 10-14
BJP 4-6
Cong 5-8
Other 1-3

Punjab Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

In Punjab the main fight is between Akali Dal-BJP alliance and Congress. AAP is also likely to gain good vote share in Punjab; however, chances of AAP wining any seat are less at present. 

T S 13

Congress 2-4
Akali Dal 5-8
BJP 2-3

Rajasthan Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

Rajasthan with 25 Loksaba seats is a strong state for Loksabha. BJP looks strong at state, it is likely to win 20 plus seats in the state. 
T S 25

BJP 20-23
Congress 2-5

Sikkim Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

TS 1


Uttrakhand Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

In Uttrakhand, BJP is likely to majority of seats
T S 5

Congress 1-2
BJP 3-4

Utter Pradesh Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

UP is biggest state when it comes to sending Loksabha MPs. There are 80 seats in UP.  The main parties in the state are SP, BSP, Congress and BJP. 
TS 80

SP 18-23
BJP 30-38
BSP 18-25
Congress 8-10
Oth 5-10

Tamil Nadu Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions
Tamilnadu is situated in southern tip of India. AIDMK is likely to emerge the biggest player in the state. 
TS 39

Congress 3-5
DMK 4-7
CPM 2-3
CPI 1-3
AIDMK 20-28
Others 5-10

West Bengal Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions

With 42 seats, WB is going to a happening place when it comes to Loksabha election 2014. Mamata Banerjee leads All India Trinamool Congressis likely to win a majority of seats in the state. 

T S 42

AITC 23-28
Left parties   14-18
Congress  4-8
Others 1-3

UTs Loksabha Election 2014 Predictions
TS 6

Adam Nicobar Cong
Chandigarh BJP
Daman and Diu BJP
DNP Others
Lakshadweep Other
Pondicherry AIDMK

Final Prediction Loksabha Election 2014 (Exit Poll/Opinion Poll Results)

Who will win Assam Assembly Election?

Who will win West Bengal Assembly Election?

Finally, we are very close to the biggest election in the biggest democracy of the world i.e. Loksabha (parliamentary) 2014 in India. Within a few months, five year term of present Loksabha will expire; therefore, it becomes mandatory for the Election Commission of India to conduit new election for selected new members of the parliament (Loksabha). So far, the Election Commission has not announced any dates for the Loksabha Election but we can expect to hear announcement in this regard very soon. India is a multi-party democracy; therefore, we find hundreds of recognized and thousands of unrecognized political parties in India. There are total of 543 Loksabha seats and any party or alliance needs to win at least 272 seats to make next government.

For last, 23 years, no single political party has won more than 272 seats and therefore, we are seeing the rule by multiparty coalition governments in India. In the last 2009 Loksabha Election, Congress lead UPA (The United Progressive Alliance)won 260 seats and it made government with the outside support of BSP (The Bahujan Samaj Party) and SP (The Samajwadi Party). In these elections, Congress emerged as single largest party by winning 206 seats. While the alliance lead by BJP NDA (The National Democratic Alliance) won only 181 seats with 116 seats won by BJP.

Loksabha Election, 2014, Prediction, Opinion Poll,
In the 2014 Loksabha election, Congress will once again likes to repeat or improve 2014 performance while BJP will try hard to stop it. With the chance of formation of third front by regional political parties, the whole election can become triangular. The great performance of AAP (Aam Admi Party) in the Delhi Assembly election and its announcement to fight 350 Loksabha seats can make this fight four sided.

Indian voters have always surprised political analytics by voting differently; therefore, it is near to impossible to predict exact results. However, all leading newspapers, TV channels, News agencies, political analysts and survey companies have come up with their anticipated outcomes of Loksabha election 2014. Most of these surveys, opinion polls are pointing in the same direction and giving some edge to BJP lead NDA, However, none of them is sure on final victory of NDA.

As per the prediction, Congress lead UPA is likely to suffer major loses while BJP lead NDA and Third Front to make impressive gains.

Combined Final Predictions for Loksabha Election 2014 are

BJP lead NDA -           200- 230
Third Front -                 180- 220
Congress Lead UPA -   100-135
AAP                   -             2-10


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