Rise or Fall of Aam Admi Party (AAP)? How many seats AAP will win in Loksabha election 2014?

At present everyone is talking about the fall of Arvind Kejriwal lead Aam Admi party (AAP). As per the latest surveys of this month, It is predicted that there will be a big decrease in vote share and numbers of seats won by AAP.

Though, the AAP does not have very long past, this party just came into existence last year and showed great performance in Delhi assembly election 2013. Arvind Kejriwal even become CM of Delhi with the outside support of the Congress.
loksabha election, 2014, AAP

AAP government lasted for 49 days over the issue of Delhi Jan Lokpal bill. Now Arvind Kejriwal and AAP party are looking towards Loksaba election and they have put their candidates on hundreds of Loksaba seats across India.

The one thing is very interesting about the AAP, and its fast rise of this party. Earlier, we have not seen such a fast spread of a political party in India. As per some surveys and reports, AAP candidates are in good position at 100 Loksabha seats and they can win up to 50 seats, if  things go in their favor.

However, there are many ifs with AAP and it is very difficult to predict actual performance of the AAP in Loksabha election 2014. In the 2013 Delhi Assembly election, All opinion polls and surveys gave AAP less than 10 seats. However, it surprised everyone with 28 seats.

Again, all predictions and surveys for 2014 Loksabha election have given AAP less than 10 seats. Will it be so or AAP will surprise us again by showing a good performance in the 2014 Loksaba election.
Arvind Kejriwal, Loksabha election, 2014

The good point in the favor of AAP is a selection of simple and influential candidates. AAP's top leader Arvind Kejriwal has announced that he will fight from the Varanasi Loksabha seat against BJP's primisterial candidate Narindra Modi.

All latest surveys are saying that AAP's popularity is on the decrease and even in Delhi, they will win just three seats.

However, I believe that AAP is a like a sutli bomb. This boom can explode or it may never explode.

Both Congress and BJP refer AAP as B team of other.

Despite all arguments and surveys, entry of AAP into politics have made the 2014 Loksabha election very interesting and difficult to predict because few seats here and there can make or break the future of many leaders and political parties.

In my estimates, AAP has potential of surprising us by winning double digit seats; however, it will be wrong to expect much from it.

At the end, we should leave everything on the shoulders of Indian voters who have all powers. 

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