Punjab Assembly Election 2017 who will win Part 2 (Opinion Poll)

Punjab, Assembly Election, 2017, Punjab Election,
In the previous article "Who will win Punjab Assembly election 2017", I discussed options which were present last year. In the last six months, many things have changed and Punjab Assembly election 2017 are going for a tough battle between Congress, BJP-Akali Dal combine and AAP. All three parties/alliances are doing all things to attract the voters of Punjab. However, still today no one is perfectly sure that who will make next government in the state.

Today, many election surveys and opinion polls are present in front of us; however, all of them are giving contradictory results. Some surveys are predicting that Akali Dal-BJP alliance will once again make next government, while others are predicting that Congress will be a single largest political party in Punjab after the 2017 Assembly election. While some other surveys and internal surveys of AAP are saying that AAP is going to win 100 plus assembly seats in Punjab.

Therefore, we can say that picture about who will 2017 Punjab assembly election is still not clear and we will get the final results only on 11th March 2017.  Punjab Assembly has 117 seats and any political party needs to win 59 assembly seats to make next government in the state. BJP-Akali Dal is trying hard to win the 2017 assembly election so that they can retain the power for the third time; however, this alliance needs to face strong incumbency factor to win votes. Moreover, there are many segments of people unhappy with the SAD and BJP on numbers of issues like illegal mining, drug misuse, corruption and religious matters.

Congress is emerging as a strong contender; however, they lost the last assembly elections to Akali Dal-BJP. Congress is facing double competition from BJP-Akali Dal and AAP. This is for the first time when Punjab is a seeing a three party strong contest; therefore, most of the political observers are keeping their mouths shut. It is quite difficult to predict the exact results when there is a three side contest and all sides are strong. However, one thing comes out clearly that Congress has strong chances of emerging single largest political party in the assembly election.

AAP is giving a strong fight in Punjab and it is likely to win few assembly seats; however, a major difficulty with AAP is that it is not strong in assembly seats of Punjab. AAP is quite strong in the Malwa region of Punjab; however, in other regions, it may not be in the winning position.

However, it is quite difficult to get the exact trend because of a tough contest. We can wait till 11th March to see who will win and who will lose.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Popular Posts